who are not members nor read any major message posts, should if they wish their NO VOTES tallied, please contact Serge Brunete at a dedicated email account for that purpose: ffom@live.ca. This msg is brought to you as a service of the RING Of FIRE Mining Camp Blog, in the interest of facilitating fair offers freely arrived at, for all shareholders in Ring Of Fire Companies, and specifically FREEWEST Stockholders.
Stock in companies who would fail to realize their value in finance and stock markets are the ones who suffer most, when the Investing Public fails to become fully aware of their share in the profits available to them.
Explorers in the RING of FIRE have found deposits chrome, copper, nickel, paltinium, diamonds, palladium, gold and silver that bear serious investigation to determine their true value, which, IMO, would be prematurely terminated by immediate acquisition. I find myself more in favor of joint development but that is not a model often used, but worthy of consideration.
Showing posts with label CHROME. Show all posts
Showing posts with label CHROME. Show all posts
Monday, January 18, 2010
Monday, January 11, 2010
Thats not polite to use those words in public, might scare the horses......!!!
BIDDING WARS ! Yes Virginia, someone actually said that out loud in this article @ :Reuters "BIDDING WARS" article.
A brief scan and read of the M & A activity for the last year, would indicate that "Daddy" CLIFFS might be in for rough sledding even as much snow as they have in Webeque, Ontario, as they try to lay in enough votes to take down FREEWEST RESOURCES. CLIFFS is clearly bigger than FREEWEST, but like a possum getting ready to grab some nestlings out of a tree over bayou, a possum is so bigger, but the Bayou is BIGGER, and harbor to hawks and alligators so any misstep will not only loose them this prey but perhaps cause the possum to be eaten. Now no one expects CLIFFS to pay possum but if there is one group not playing possum its the FREEWESTFAIR OFFER MOVEMENT, which is working on
closing in on enough votes to send CLIFFS Back to the drawing board as the move to secure mining assets heats up. No one knows what will happen if CLIFFS fails to get the giant chromite deposit of Black Thor, but we do know FREEWEST will go one exploring, since apparently there is a ' Beast of a Nickel Deposit" directly in their area. Whether its copper, nickle, platinum, palladium, chrome, diamonds, gold, silver or other stuff that is held in the Iron Triangle grip of FREEWEST, FANCAMP & Big Daddy JV, the action in the
RING is catching FIRE

closing in on enough votes to send CLIFFS Back to the drawing board as the move to secure mining assets heats up. No one knows what will happen if CLIFFS fails to get the giant chromite deposit of Black Thor, but we do know FREEWEST will go one exploring, since apparently there is a ' Beast of a Nickel Deposit" directly in their area. Whether its copper, nickle, platinum, palladium, chrome, diamonds, gold, silver or other stuff that is held in the Iron Triangle grip of FREEWEST, FANCAMP & Big Daddy JV, the action in the
RING is catching FIRE
Saturday, January 9, 2010
Today they call them Explorers, in the past they called them STAMPEDERS
as they followed from strike to strike, trying to lay in the BIG CLAIM, once DISCOVERY CLAIM had been hit.
In this case, since Voisey's Bay attracted all kinds of people from presidents to pond life, its not surprising that many who missed in VB, were determined to hit the NEXT BIG ONE.
A very experienced Geologist once said to me, "When they take the core out, sometimes the specimen is too obvious to be able to hide what it is." And at that point, you know the word is out ! ! !
I am exactly sure that is what ran thru Richard Nemis's mind when he saw the core containing Pentlandite from the hole of the Double Eagle Strike "THIS IS THE STUFF THEY FOUND IN VOISEY's BAY ! ! ! "
Now that SPQ has pulled a core of "GODLEVSKITE" from its latest sampling that is located within several hundred meters of the surface of Big Daddy, their JV with FWR & KWG, they noted its rich nature, as it could contain a maximum of 64% Nickel -> Look here :Web Mineral Site. This mineral is found in Norilsk, as was Pentlandite, [ 34% Nickel][ which alerted Prospectors Sparks and Verbiski in VB], as well as the Texmont Mine now owned by Fletcher Nickel which shares some people with KWG.
Here is the part of the release that is going to make things a bit more interesting:
"- Hole 33, after passing through 11.0 metres that averages 40.29% Cr2O3, entered a narrow nickel sulphide filled fault zone that averages 2.74% nickel, 0.12% cobalt and 1.04 g/t Pt+Pd over 1.0 metres. A sample selected for petrographic analysis as determined to contain a low temperature alteration assemblage of minerals including godlevskite along with veinlets of mackinawite which infer a possible nearby primary nickel source."
Well it is obvious we have some very, very intense minerization, some of which is found in Norilsk and Voisey's Bay, and its OUT now, so I wonder if we dont soon see the RING Catch FIRE.
So, chrome, nickel, copper, platinum, palladium, gold, silver and diamonds are all found in proximity to the RING of FIRE, as well as FREEWESTS huge find, BLACK THOR, BLACK LABEL and now the Joint Venture holding BIG DADDY of SPIDER, KWG & FREEWEST, is tracking a river of nickel. We really have no idea what might happen next............
In this case, since Voisey's Bay attracted all kinds of people from presidents to pond life, its not surprising that many who missed in VB, were determined to hit the NEXT BIG ONE.
A very experienced Geologist once said to me, "When they take the core out, sometimes the specimen is too obvious to be able to hide what it is." And at that point, you know the word is out ! ! !
I am exactly sure that is what ran thru Richard Nemis's mind when he saw the core containing Pentlandite from the hole of the Double Eagle Strike "THIS IS THE STUFF THEY FOUND IN VOISEY's BAY ! ! ! "
Now that SPQ has pulled a core of "GODLEVSKITE" from its latest sampling that is located within several hundred meters of the surface of Big Daddy, their JV with FWR & KWG, they noted its rich nature, as it could contain a maximum of 64% Nickel -> Look here :Web Mineral Site. This mineral is found in Norilsk, as was Pentlandite, [ 34% Nickel][ which alerted Prospectors Sparks and Verbiski in VB], as well as the Texmont Mine now owned by Fletcher Nickel which shares some people with KWG.
Here is the part of the release that is going to make things a bit more interesting:
"- Hole 33, after passing through 11.0 metres that averages 40.29% Cr2O3, entered a narrow nickel sulphide filled fault zone that averages 2.74% nickel, 0.12% cobalt and 1.04 g/t Pt+Pd over 1.0 metres. A sample selected for petrographic analysis as determined to contain a low temperature alteration assemblage of minerals including godlevskite along with veinlets of mackinawite which infer a possible nearby primary nickel source."
Well it is obvious we have some very, very intense minerization, some of which is found in Norilsk and Voisey's Bay, and its OUT now, so I wonder if we dont soon see the RING Catch FIRE.
So, chrome, nickel, copper, platinum, palladium, gold, silver and diamonds are all found in proximity to the RING of FIRE, as well as FREEWESTS huge find, BLACK THOR, BLACK LABEL and now the Joint Venture holding BIG DADDY of SPIDER, KWG & FREEWEST, is tracking a river of nickel. We really have no idea what might happen next............
Monday, December 14, 2009
SUPER BOWL TIME in the RING of FIRE

The vaunted and feared "Hail Mary" forward pass, in the hands of serious Quarterback like Brett Farve or others, has undone many smug game leader. After completing a couple well executed "Hail Mary" passes, it is apparent to me that FREEWEST is establishing "Orbital Escape Velocity" from being an undervalued Junior Explorer to being a sought after company.
Notre Dame Stadium pictured holds not quite 81,000 fans. Try to imagine, after reading the reports of the deposits BLACK THOR, BLACK LABEL and BIG DADDY, how many NOTRE DAME Stadiums will fit into the footprint of the proposed pit mine. BLACK THOR
is traced 1700 Meteres [ thats 17 football fields the long ways ] long, and 50 meteres wide [ same as your basic width of football field ].
IMAGINE NINE [ 9 ] NOTRE DAME FIELDS side by side two [2] by two [2] thats BLACK THOR alone, just Black Thor. Black Label, and Big Daddy are not even included in that.
Have you done the MATH on the Chrome Farm Project? I am working some rough math and comparisons and these numbers suggest a take out price at least one, maybe one and a half, orders of magnitude greater that what we have
even spoke about.
We are talking about clearly bowl shaped deposits available for pit mining once the 3-35 meters of overburden is removed [ reformed into dykes if need be? ][ we will be in bedrock, rather than muck so it will be stable as we reach the ore]. BOWL SHAPED Deposits. The only thing you can do is pit mine them LOL, since they are so perfect for it !!
When I stop counting the zeros in my calculations, later this week I will have some of my SWAG estimates of what this deal could produce for whomever ends up with it.
Bottom line is this deposit is a "GAME CHANGER" for the stainless component market. If a smaller company like CLIFFS gets it, they will be able to "JackHammer" their way into the stainless component market because they hold
the PRICE HAMMER in this, probably the lowest cost of deposits on the planet. If a Super Major, already in chromite gets it, they will CONTROL the Chrome Market.
Since Xstrata is closing out older mining assets and leaning down in Canada, they are likely to attempt to buy in.
Despite my concerns, I am not sure Xstrata could partner with CLIFFs but such is possible. Since X is a miner, it would seem unlkely plus I am sure the US authorities would NOT like it a bit.
More likely CLIFFS can develop an offtake partner agreement with someone like Acelor, who is PRODUCING Stainless, but again if you thought politics made strangebedfellows, just watch..........
The other side of that spectrum is that VALE, BHP and RTZ are familiar with this deposit, so their interest cannot be discounted. Once you total up the dollar value of the deposi; the national strategic value; the business strategic value, it adds up to inability of two or more majors to ignore this deal. To ignore this deal would clearly and openly run against their own interests or suggest a change in direction in their philosophies. No such change has been signalled so I am glad to hold my shares in FREEWEST until the CHROME FARM is really, really, really sold, not before. This does not even address the potential of others in the RING. Close by and getting a lot of action are PROBE and FANCAMP, plus SPQ & KWG, the last two,curiously have having "Dead Cat" bounces rather than "Hockey Puck Richochets" again curious to me, which might yield to the proper due diligence.
I think the answer is in the math. I also think the math is telling us that the real value of this property is at least one if not one and a half orders of magnitude larger than what we have seen to day.
Thursday, December 10, 2009
"TWELVE WEEKS of M & A Activty in the RING of FIRE

RED=CHROME, BLUE=PGM's, YELLOW=NICKEL, GREEN=COPPER
OR
FWR=RED, FNC=BLUE, SPQ=YELLOW, KWG=GREEN
and so HAPPY HOLIDAYS TO ALL YOU AND YOURS. We sing our holiday song to the tune of
"The Twelve Days of Christmas" and we are so happy and grateful to be in the RING !
"On the 12th Week of M & A Activity, the RING of FIRE gave to us, 12 Juniors Staking"."
AND Two Improved Bids for FREEWEST, plus two new rumored "interested parties". Wow its beginning to look a lot like Christmas ! !
"On the 11th Week of M & A activity, the RING of FIRE gave to us, 11 Drillers Drilling" AND
an improved ALL-Cash offer for FREEWEST from CLIFFS. Wow, its beginning to really feel like Christmas ! ! !
I just bet you that some very big reindeer [ moose size maybe ] is gonna come in here with Santa riding on his back, with lotsa goodies for all those holding good RING of FIRE properties. So far FNC, PRB and FWR are getting the attention, but I want to see what Santa has for everyone. So far the Santa Radar only has FNC, PRB and FWR showing. Maybe more towards Chrimstmas some more will show up.
Be good and hold onto your shares, no matter who tries to take them from you, as SANTA KNOWS what is the RING of FIRE............... and "DADDY WONT SELL THE FARM"
HAPPY HOLIDAYS EVERYONE !!!
Labels:
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Monday, December 7, 2009
A bunch of white guys with weird accents, ehh?

These guys companies sound like alphabet soup, and they supposed to speak English, but its not the same, somehow.
Now I dont bother posting the charts of the companies they are hunting, and they are hunting. Its almost like "ALIEN" vs. "PREDATOR", with a twist. Maybe not TEN BILLION, but they got plenty cash, if only half that, so I asks myself, how far could they drive the price of a couple Junior explorers if it was known they were looking. Now this late in the fall, the weather wont support the "Fishing" excuse, so I guess that is NOT what they were there for. It doesnt even matter which ones it was, but rather, that THEY were there.
How much energy will the knowledge of their presence add to the mix? I really dont know but I do know it will push the envelope when the total of the other two bidders market cap is less than the cash position of one or two of these companies? Strange what might result. I think if you scroll back thru the older posts, you can see some of that TA with the prices I am seeing projected for at least one of the Juniors, FREEWEST.
WORLD CLASS in the RING of FIRE

Thats what we have here in the RING of FIRE, World Class. Chrome deposits thick, long and rich ? PGE's ? Cu ? Ni? Rare Earths ?
NO ! WHOA there buddy! !, IT's Mac-HAMMER !!
I am talking about a more serious quality that that!
Lets talk about the guy who held the fused bottle of smoking nitro, and calmly did exactly what he said he'd do, Mac Watson..
Piloting FREEWEST thru the straits and rapids, blind channels,and shoals.
Smart enuf to team up with CLIFFS a couple years ago, he brought FREEWEST the offer that now has been just the opening round in what will be a Battle Royale.
Withstanding the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, and gracious to all,
IMO, Mac is a world class act. "CLASS" popularly defined as "that element of grace and taste and elegant manner of style and action". He is standing tall, and will, IMO, exit smiling with his shareholders.
Its not a stretch to see his "grace under fire", as the mud-slinging falls wide of the mark, and hear his humanity as he says such is expected in this struggle.
Any of us in his position would do as he has or worse, and sad for the miscreants who attempt to sully his name, as what goes around comes around by a factor of 3X.
It wont be that long in coming.
I dont see Mac getting fitted for a halo, in fact I want to see him with his hands wrapped around a chip hammer, working in the field for the New Freewest, or ink stains on his hands from the maps running wet, in the field. Give the man some credit, give him some space and above all, give him some time in the field when this is over, he'd like that.
Enough said. As MC Hammer would say about Mac "Cant touch this ! "
When its all over, he'll be known as "Mac-HAMMER" !!!!
Labels:
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Sunday, December 6, 2009
Poll Results
In short -> 56% of the responders think that the next "Big Thing" is not yet known !
44% think that the Next Big Thing is already known.
88% want CASH, the rest, Participation.
Respondents want the explorers to look for Chrome, PGE,s & CU / NI
No one thinks FREEWEST is over priced.
I think that most of these reults weren't surprising at all.
Again, I go back to the responders / readers being informed and aware. !
As you see I composed the first verse of the "12 WEEKS OF TAKE-OVER", which I repeat here : " On the 12th week of Take-Over, the RING of FIRE gave to me, 12 Juniors staking."
The RING is hot, getting press at BNN, FORTUNE, and a number of other mainstream venues, plus the serious Mining Journals and Publications. Given Ontario's huge size and huge mineral wealth, it IS surprising to see HOW LARGE a Mining Camp might
develop from these activities, as you have the DEBEERS VICTOR Diamond mine on the EAST, the GOLDCORP MusselWhite Mine on the WEST, and lordy knows how many deposits to the SOUTH. Probably the whole thing is OPEN TO THE NORTH.
Now those who have traveled in the Arctic, Africa, or places say other than Europe, you must get used to mind-numbing distances, that seemingly arent shown on the map, you are the victim of the "Mercator Projection", which describes its features in this quote from Wiki :"Like all map projections that attempt to fit a curved surface onto a flat sheet, the shape of the map is a distortion of the true layout of the Earth's surface. The Mercator projection exaggerates the size of areas far from the equator. For example:
* Greenland is presented as having roughly as much land area as Africa, when in fact Africa's area is approximately 14 times greater than Greenland.
* Alaska is presented as having similar or even slightly more land area than Brazil, when Brazil's area is actually more than 5 times that of Alaska.
* Finland appears with a greater north-south extent than India, although India's is the greater..
So now we know why it takes SOOOO long to go places that dont look that BIG. OK
So now we know the distances. Nakina, Ontario, on Route 11, is probably 200 miles S.of the RING, in basically unroaded territory. Bulk minerals whether concentrated or not will require heavy rail transport to infrastructure facilities at Nakina, Thunder Bay or Sudbury. Rail thru territory like this has been accomplished by strong but not heroic efforts where RAIL was the only heavy transport option. Ontario, Canada's Federal Government and numerous First Nations communities are committed to reducing poverty through good jobs. So far plans for human facilities in Northern Ontario are on the Agenda of all three of these groups, therefore lending a strong positive dynamic for development of the mineral assets in the RING of FIRE. Balanced against the distances, the human imperative seems to be to more forward especially where there has been successful precedent.
Right now the RING of FIRE is a HOT development just opening the tiniest tickle in the consciousness of investors and manufacturers in Ontario and Canada. It can only get bigger.
Now that was fun ! Its the HOLIDAYS, so lets sing


THE TAKE-OVER SONG which goes as follows:
"One the 12th week of TAKE-OVER, the RING of FIRE gave to me, 12 Juniors staking."
Now that one sounds like fun. Let see there was Rudolph, Prancer, Dancer, Donner and OOPS wrong song,. It is Freewest, Spider, Kwg, Probe, MacDonald, UC, Temex, Hawk, Baltic, Northern Shield, UC and Fancamp. Wow what an assortment !! And not even a complete list, right. Now who did we leave out? Noront? Well they are in the RING with a really huge land position.
Ok, so now, they have STAKED. And drilled. And assembled assays. So now what do we have? In real terms we have 10 years of boots on the ground. Ten years of exploration and drilling. What do we have? Diamonds? No, just signs. Copper? Yes significant signs. Nickle, same. Gold, silver? Well maybe some. Platinum group minerals and elements ? Yes we have lots of that showing.
So far there is one "Stand-Alone" deposit, that holds the potential for economic development now, and as the game progresses it now holds the extremely important spot of FIRST TO BE DEVELOPED. No doubt the other elements folded into this will come out in the fire also, to be sure.
This first deposit is truly an "ELEPHANT" and we can only eat an elephant one bite at a time. I seriously doubt we are past the 2nd bite yet,and so no one really knows its potential future pricing, as every parameter used in figuring the current deal is based on the lowest, most conservative values. We are also neither in Manic 2007, or at the peak of the steel market, both of which are coming again, IMO.
Interestingly, Probe & FNC are keeping pace with FREEWEST, while, SPQ, KWG, NOT, TME and BMK are holding their ground in spite of the TSX downturn.
With offers from CLIFFs and NORONT, FREEWEST is in new high ground for multi-year highs, extremely bullish and yet with a still good head of steam underneath it, perhaps indicating the market expects more, as in the 2nd round of a 15 round Headliner Match. Probe is exactly mimicing FWR while FNC is very positively related. As a rule, its understandable why interest is rising in the rest of the RING, but yet curious why KWG and SPQ are not showing the same zest as FREEWEST. Curious.
Just like when you field dress a big animal weighing tonnes, there is a lot left after the first steak. Stay tuned. I think I hear some big predators on the prowl out there. I cant see it clearly but I can hear them moving around.
Tuesday, December 1, 2009
Bidders and Prizes


The prize is FREEWEST, its Chart from yesterday in the last post. It looks like a winner waiting another bid, IMO.
The above is clearly a "Tale of Two Stocks"
For CLIFFS it looks like the Best of Times. It keeps correcting and then going higher
NORONT seems to have trouble getting it " In- Gear " to sustain any real move, and raises questions of its liquidity should it have to fund a FREEWEST acquisition.
This question is really which one anyone wants if they get stock and not cash for
their FREEWEST shares. This doesnt even touch the question that many FREEWEST holders
are considering turning down both deals and seeing much higher bids in the wings.
As you can read from the polls, probably two thirds or better of the respondents say they would, could, or have held a MAJOR Mining Company, so to many, stock from a MAJOR may be an acceptable item if the "Price is Right".
A sizable number expect Noront may be as well, acquired by a Major. Therefore a cash offer might be attractive but is not a REAL clincher unless "The Price is Right"
Many of the RING of FIRE stocks are now and have been under long term accumulation.
For now, FREEWEST is "The Next Big Thing, in The RING", and this saga may draw out some, but perhaps clues exist as to what will take place next.
The polls on this blog will close in couple hours, and perhaps I can put up some new polls to get a feel for what we think is and should happen.
Monday, November 30, 2009
Who is on first? We are on FIRST

For the day in "The RING " it seems as if FREEWEST is the big story. Various have tried to dissect the price of the 2nd NORONT offer. It is for the TOTAL of FREEWEST, no spin off, and a warrant. Seems as it it isnt what the FREEWEST holders want. They seem unenthusiastic, in the light of the fact that more and more funds seem to be positioning themselves in FREEWEST stock. We know those guys dont play for pennies. My guess is they want a quick double or better but they want it quickly.
Another 52 week closing high, and the 2nd highest TSX volume so far. The Chart is CLASSIC, and suggests more to come. So far its still in the first quarter. I dont think we will see the HALF TIME show until well after Christmas. Hey how many Shopping Days 'til Christmas? Twenty-Five Days Shoppers ! ! ! I think FREEWEST may have a nice sack of goodies, in the ROF Chrome Project. How long do you think those boys and girls can wait to get their present, basically all the Chrome the West has ever wanted, in N.America ? A secure supply? A stratetgic secure supply?
A very potentially COMMERCIAL SUPPLY, that could be exported also? HMMM it seems to me that the Goodies are in FREEWEST's sack. I think there will have to be a very NICE BIG PLATE of MILK & COOKIES for SANTA MAC to leave this CHROME PROJECT Present.
I guess if the NICE BIG PLATE of COOKIES arent there, we might have to wait for the EASTER BUNNY ! Who will be SANTA ? Who will get the PRESNT? Maybe it will CLIFFS? XSTRATA?
No matter how you look at it, its a winner and a nice play.
HOLA another OFFER? NPV & Math. TA next post

I am comfortable in thinking that the mining professionals are better informed than others in the arena of the RING of FIRE. I am also more impressed when serious companies put themselves out there for all to see. Working on this knowledge, I then
decided to use some data presented by CLIFFS in their offer for FREEWEST. The data I am using here is what has been presented by CLIFFS with some slight inclusions to assure myself I included most of the other outside possibilities.
I am doing this to check the potential logic and reasonableness of my Preliminary Technical Analysis conclusions. I do so because this process going on NOW in the "RING of FIRE" can seem maddeningly slow and we all want results NOW NOW NOW !
Here is the link for the NPV caculator.
http://www.investopedia.com/calculator/NetPresentValue.aspx?viewed=1
Further my primary idea is that the simpler we keep this, the closer to reality we will end up. I say that meaning we pursue ALL avenues with an eye to simplicity.
We use all Intell and all Evidence, but we use it in its simplest context.
To be fair, and not to guess whether we are in a DEPRESSION, RECOVERY or TEOTWASKI
I used 3 interest rates in the NPV to simulate all three conditions. Five % for depression, 8% for RECOVERY, and 12% for "THE END OF THE WORLD AS WE KNOW IT."
The next input, NUMBER 2 is the life of the mine which is " 30 YEARS".
Intial cost, is the NUMBER 3 input figured at 800 MIL, but I added back the Scientific Wild Donkey Guess for the RAIL at $400 MIL, and "Project CREEP" for $200 MIL. to attempt to give some flex to again what are "Guessimates" based on CLIFF's figure given since they went public with their First offer for FREEWEST.
The next FIVE inputs are simply expected cash flow in the first 5 years, NONE, but since the formula demanded an input, I used 0.01 in the first five slots.
The next FIVE inputs were the expected REVENUE / CASH FLOW from the project, figured at 1.4 BIL per year, current dollars.
All these inputs stay STATIC, Except the Interest Rate. Now using the 8% rate
We get a NET PROJECT VALUE NOW - Now - > now, of 3.84 BIL, after taking out the comprehensive estimated cost of the project. Discount that by 8% to now and the NET, NEt, net Present Value of the project is $2.44 Billion.
THATS THE NPV of all the future dollars in NOW DOLLARS, not share price.
NOW FOR THE MATH. This deposit at this price will assure CLIFFS' dominance over a lot of the stainless market. That is of value to CLIFFS but not figured in here.
We can explore that later. Lets go back to the VALUE of the RING of FIRE Chrome Freewest Project. I don't feel greedy thinking FREEWEST Shareholders should be rewarded for their Risk-Bearing by profiting to the extent of 1 year of profit from the FREEWEST RoF Chrome project.
WHAT IS ONE YEAR'S PROFIT FROM THIS PROJECT? Lets go back to the conference call, when one of the Analysts from the BIGGIES asks CLIFFS what their profit will be from this FREEWEST RoF Chrome Project. So the CLIFFS guy that their COST is : ".... it is in the lowest quartile." WOW, now lets speak ENGLISH. My understanding of the English language and both finance and English are my mother tongues, is that it means the COST is in the LOWEST QUARTER. No doubt many will turn the meaning but if you listened to the teleconf, you now the obvious pride with which that answer is delivered and how happy the analysts were with that answer.
At this point it does not take a "Weatherman to tell which way the wind is blowing"
ala Bob Dylan. The non-verbal message [ " wink and a nod" ] here is that all the parties in that conversation loved that answer.
In brief, if the cost is 25% of the revenue, then what is left is 75%. To me the math is too simple to be ignnored. Seventy-Five percent of the gross annual gross revenue for the project would be NET revenue for the project or 1.05 BILLION.
Lets round off and simply divide the 1 Billion by say, 215 Mil shares of FREEWEST.
BINGO we get $4.65 per share. So far we have used the figures from the most savvy and seasoned professionals out there, CLIFFS. They might not want to invest that much in acquiring the project UNLESS THEY MUST . It IS understood that no one pays more than they must, neither you nor I.
So, if you listened early on in the CLIFFS teleconf you heard them say as I paraphrase THEY WILL TRUMP ANY OTHER OFFER. If you take them at their word, well the conclusion is inescapbable, hold your shares to the end of the process and as yet, there is no end in sight, even the Jan shareholders meeting is NOT an endpoint.
Next post we can look at a bit of TA.
Thursday, November 26, 2009
Drilling Season is upon us, in the RING of FIRE
and everyone from the Major Major to the tiniest of Juniors are playing close attention to the current tidal wave of interest in the mineral values in the RING.
Who started what doesn't matter as much as who gets what. Who gets what has been
the primary element of the struggle to - date.
Noront announced its unsolicited all stock offer [ 1 share of Noront for each 4 shares of FREEWEST ][ as unissued, this would have resulted in a 1/3 dilution for all shareholders, new and old ] in early October and was greeted with great skepticism by both the Market and FREEWEST Holders. FREEWEST management was more direct and called for an outright rejection of the offer and advised against tendering any shares to Noront. While Noront has not publicized how many shares it did obtain, subsequent events seemed to make this offer untenable, as FREEWEST's price moved far and away better than Noront would have penciled out to be.
FREEWEST and its holders maintained that CLIFFS [ former CLEVELAND-CLIFFS ] of Cleveland, Ohio, had the inside track and would make a superior offer to Noront.
On Nov 23rd, FREEWEST CEO "Mac" Watson, announced just such an offer by CLIFFS, with an estimated value of 70 cents per share of Freewest, for their RING of FIRE
Chromite properties. That is where it stands as of this moment. Theoretically, the NORONT deal is open until Noront says it is not, or until the FREEWEST stockholders vote on the CLIFFS deal. That part is about 6 weeks out. So for a minimum of 6 weeks there is going to be a virtual donnybrook about the values attached to RING of FIRE Properties, the bidders and those sought after. More will be posted here about such.
Who started what doesn't matter as much as who gets what. Who gets what has been
the primary element of the struggle to - date.
Noront announced its unsolicited all stock offer [ 1 share of Noront for each 4 shares of FREEWEST ][ as unissued, this would have resulted in a 1/3 dilution for all shareholders, new and old ] in early October and was greeted with great skepticism by both the Market and FREEWEST Holders. FREEWEST management was more direct and called for an outright rejection of the offer and advised against tendering any shares to Noront. While Noront has not publicized how many shares it did obtain, subsequent events seemed to make this offer untenable, as FREEWEST's price moved far and away better than Noront would have penciled out to be.
FREEWEST and its holders maintained that CLIFFS [ former CLEVELAND-CLIFFS ] of Cleveland, Ohio, had the inside track and would make a superior offer to Noront.
On Nov 23rd, FREEWEST CEO "Mac" Watson, announced just such an offer by CLIFFS, with an estimated value of 70 cents per share of Freewest, for their RING of FIRE
Chromite properties. That is where it stands as of this moment. Theoretically, the NORONT deal is open until Noront says it is not, or until the FREEWEST stockholders vote on the CLIFFS deal. That part is about 6 weeks out. So for a minimum of 6 weeks there is going to be a virtual donnybrook about the values attached to RING of FIRE Properties, the bidders and those sought after. More will be posted here about such.
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